第2128期:15年前的预言(a Rockefeller 2010 report)
2010年,洛克菲勒基金会发布了一份报告 “Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development”(科技和国际发展的未来场景),对未来15-20年的世界科技发展做出了四个预言:
- LOCK STEP(同步):
A world of tighter top-down government control and more authoritarian leadership, with limited innovation and growing citizen pushback.
更多自上而下的政府控制和更专制的领导层将会出现,创新会受到限制,也将引发更多公民的抵制。
- CLEVER TOGETHER(同慧):
A world in which highly coordinated and successful strategies emerge for addressing both urgent and entrenched worldwide issues.
将会出现高度协调并成功的战略,以解决紧迫和根深蒂固的全球问题。
- HACK ATTACK(骇客):
An economically unstable and shock-prone world in which governments weaken, criminals thrive and dangerous innovations emerge.
世界经济将会动荡,造成一些政府震荡,罪犯得势,一些危险的创新将会出现。
- SMART SCRAMBLE(拼图):
An economically depressed world in which individuals and communities develop localized, makeshift solutions to a growing set of problems.
世界经济萧条之下,个人和社区转向开发本地化的、临时方案解决愈来愈多的问题。
14年过去了,这四个预言应验了吗?你觉得呢?这份英文原文报告值得一读,下载链接
https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/Annual-Report-2010-1.pdf
Reference
https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/reports/